STTS Weekly Summary 10 January 2016


STTS WEEKLY SUMMARY
 
A disappointing start to the new year. We wanted to remain cautious pre-NFP data so early in the week we just ran our Long in the Kiwi dollar which was stopped out as the rising channel pattern failed. We then went Short EURUSD twice, once pre NFP which we exited at Break Even due to lack of follow through and then later post NFP which is still open but very close to being Stopped out. As the bullish NFP figure came out we also decided to go Long SP500 in expectation that the recent Risk Off market mode would reverse but we were wrong and got stopped out pre- close on Friday.
 
Our recent trading shows very often that our unrealized P/L is positive but we give back a lot of it ex-post. This is symptomatic of widening Stops, and therefore Targets to allow for markets which are swinging violently. To counter act this we need to go down in time frames which will result in more trades with tighter stops but at the same time targets which are more likely to be reached.
 
Unrealized P/L of -2.8 x Risk / (Since Inception -1.94 x Risk)

♦ Since Inception: 238 STTS (closed) signals
65 Winners, 127 Losers, 46 Not Triggered or closed at Break Even
34% Winners / 66% Losers

Profit: -1.94 x Risk
STTS WEEKLY CUMULATIVE SUMMARY
Week ending Signals Winners Losers B/E or n/t Realized P/L * Cumulative
03-Jan-14 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10-Jan-14 1 0 1 0 -1.0R -$100 -$100
17-Jan-14 7 3 3 1 +2.3R $230 $130
31-Jan-14 6 4 2 0 +2.2R $220 $350
07-Feb-14 4 2 2 0 +2.2R $220 $570
14-Feb-14 0 No STTS due to MT4 upgrade 0 $0 $570
21-Feb-14 5 3 1 1 +4.4R $440 $1,010
28-Feb-14 6 1 2 3 -0.2R -$20 $990
07-Mar-14 7 3 4 0 +3.25R $325 $1,315
14-Mar-14 6 3 2 1 +2.3R $230 $1,545
21-Mar-14 9 1 3 3 -0.68R -$68 $1,477
28-Mar-14 1 1 1 0 +2.07R $207 $1,684
04-Apr-14 4 2 0 2 +4.12R $412 $2,096
11-Apr-14 3 0 2 0 -2.0R -$200 $1,896
18-Apr-14 2 1 1 1 +1.0R $100 $1,996
25-Apr-14 4 0 2 2 -2.0R -$200 $1,796
02-May-14 3 1 1 1 -0.74R -$74 $1,722
09-May-14 3 0 2 0 -2.0R -$200 $1,522
16-May-14 2 0 1 0 -1.0R -$100 $1,422
23-May-14 1 0 3 0 -3.0R -$300 $1,122
30-May-14 4 0 2 0 -2.0R -$200 $922
06-Jun-14 1 1 1 0 +1.0R $100 $1,022
13-Jun-14 1 2 1 0 +2.63R $263 $1,285
20-Jun-14 5 0 1 2 -0.5R -$50 $1,235
27-Jun-14 5 0 2 2 -1.5R -$150 $1,085
04-Jul-14 2 3 1 0 +2.0R $200 $1,285
11-Jul-14 2 1 1 1 +1.5R $150 $1,435
18-Jul-14 2 0 1 0 -1.0R -$100 $1,335
25-Jul-14 2 1 2 0 +1.0R $100 $1,435
01-Aug-14 3 1 2 0 -1.1R -$110 $1,325
08-Aug-14 2 0 1 0 -1.0R -$100 $1,225
15-Aug-14 2 1 0 1 +0.4R $40 $1,265
22-Aug-14 0 0 0 1 0 $0 $1,265
29-Aug-14 1 0 1 0 -1.0R -$100 $1,165
05-Sep-14 2 0 0 0 0 $0 $1,165
12-Sep-14 3 1 2 2 -0.28R -$28 $1,137
19-Sep-14 3 0 1 1 -1.0R -$100 $1,037
26-Sep-14 4 0 4 0 -3.0R -$300 $737
03-Oct-14 3 0 3 0 -3.0R -$300 $437
10-Oct-14 0 0 1 0 -1.0R -$100 $337
17-Oct-14 3 0 1 0 -1.0R -$100 $237
24-Oct-14 2 0 0 1 0 $0 $237
31-Oct-14 2 2 0 0 +3.65 R $365 $602
07-Nov-14 0 2 1 0 +7.58 R $758 $1,360
14-Nov-14 4 0 0 0 0 $0 $1,360
21-Nov-14 0 0 2 1 -2.1 R -$210 $1,150
27-Nov-14 2 1 0 0 +1.10 R $110 $1,260
05-Dec-14 1 0 1 0 -0.15 R -$15 $1,245
12-Dec-14 2 0 0 2 +0.09 R $9 $1,254
19-Dec-14 1 0 3 0 -2.0 R -$200 $1,054
09-Jan-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $954
16-Jan-15 1 0 1 0 -0.25 R -$25 $929
23-Jan-15 3 0 2 1 -2.0 R -$200 $729
30-Jan-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $629
06-Feb-15 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $629
13-Feb-15 1 1 0 0 +2.5 R $250 $879
20-Feb-15 3 1 2 0 -0.9 R -$90 $789
27-Feb-15 1 0 1 0 -0.1 R -$10 $779
06-Mar-15 3 0 3 0 -3.0 R -$300 $479
13-Mar-15 3 0 2 1 -2.27 R -$227 $252
20-Mar-15 1 0 1 0 -0.1 R -$10 $242
27-Mar-15 1 1 0 0 +1.7 R $170 $412
10-Apr-15 1 1 0 0 +0.3 R $30 $442
17-Apr-15 3 2 1 0 +2.99 R $299 $741
24-Apr-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $641
01-May-15 4 1 2 1 +1.6 R $160 $801
08-May-15 0 NO STTS due to Travel 0 $0 $801
15-May-15 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $801
22-May-15 3 0 1 2 -0.9 R -$90 $711
29-May-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $611
05-Jun-15 2 0 2 0 -1.0 R -$200 $411
12-Jun-15 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $411
19-Jun-15 3 2 1 0 +4.44 R $444 $855
26-Jun-15 2 0 1 1 -0.9 R -$90 $765
03-Jul-15 4 0 2 2 -2.0 R -$200 $565
10-Jul-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $465
17-Jul-15 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $465
24-Jul-15 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $465
07-Aug-15 1 1 0 0 +0.9 R $90 $555
10 to 21 Aug 15 0 NO STTS due to Travel 0 $0 $555
28-Aug-15 4 1 2 1 -0.8 R -$80 $475
04-Sep-15 3 1 2 0 -1.1 R -$110 $365
11-Sep-15 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $365
18-Sep-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $265
02-Oct-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $165
09-Oct-15 1 0 0 1 -1.0 R $0 $165
16-Oct-15 3 2 1 0 +1.7 R $170 $335
23-Oct-15 5 1 3 1 +0.46 R $46 $381
30-Oct-15 8 3 4 1 -0.8 R -$80 $301
06-Nov-15 3 1 2 0 +2.15 R $215 $516
13-Nov-15 3 1 2 0 +0.1 R $10 $526
20-Nov-15 5 1 3 1 -1.95 R -$195 $331
27-Nov-15 3 0 3 0 -2.0 R -$200 $131
04-Dec-15 3 1 2 0 -0.38 R -$38 $93
11-Dec-15 0 0 0 0 0 $0 $93
18-Dec-15 8 2 3 3 +0.13 R $13 $106
31-Dec-15 1 0 1 0 -1.0 R -$100 $6
08-Jan-16 3 0 2 1 -2.0 R -$200 -$194
TOTALS 238 65 127 46 -1.94 R -$194  
* Assuming R (Risk per Trade) = 100$
B/E = Break Even            n/t = Not Triggered
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NB: The above scenarios are only what we at TFF believe have a high probability of success. There are no guarantees and past performance is NOT an indication of future performance. If you choose to trade, do so at your own risk and never risk money you are not prepared to lose. Before placing any trade, we strongly recommend you watch our Risk Management Video, in conjunction with reading our Disclaimer.